By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.
By 2030, AI will greatly outperform humans in some complex intellectual tasks. Discover how LLMs are doubling their capabilities every seven months.
Or like looking at the early days of semiconductors and extrapolating that CPU speed will double every 18 months …smh these people
Since CPU speeds are still doubling every 18 months you have a solid point!
Or maybe not since you are probably referring to the doubling of transistors that was an observation which was accurate over a lengthy period of time in the context of when the observation was made. Nobody said that would continue indefinitely either.
Yup, that’s what I was alluding to, while it may not still be the case for transistors, they did manage to take 50 odd years to get there, push that trend line from the figure 50 years heh (not saying you should, 5 seems much more conservative)
Take a look at Nvidias pace wrt Moore’s law (of FLOPS) https://netrouting.com/nvidia-surpassing-moores-law-gpu-innovation/